More Intrade fun: election prediction map!

September 17, 2008 – 3:20 pm

Intrade political map

Intrade has launched a new feature for me to waste time with. They’ve opened up prediction trading markets for individual US states for the upcoming presidential election — and also provided this nifty map to visually translate how those predictions would correlate to electoral college votes.

For some reason the defualt view is the “Average” of electoral votes for each state based on the market values. This really doesn’t make much sense since you can’t split up electoral votes, so I prefer to view the “Leaning” view where votes per state ore given in full based on market values.

I’ve already noticed some significant shifts in just the past day. It’s pretty cool to follow.

OK, I’m wasting even more time writing about this.

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